What happened that Pakistan is expelling Afghan migrants?
Author: Ahmad Saidi, an analyst on Afghanistan and regional issues (Germany), especially for Sangar
Undoubtedly, the influx of migrants into Afghanistan will increase economic and political problems.
Apart from the poverty, unemployment, and homelessness that our migrants inside Afghanistan are suffering from, one of the major problems is that the children of Afghan migrants who studied school in Urdu and English in Pakistan, unfortunately, do not have a conducive environment to study in Afghanistan.
Anyway, let's put Pakistan's economic and security issues aside and get back to the main topic: why is Pakistan expelling Afghan immigrants? What is the goal of the Government of Pakistan in implementing this plan?
In my opinion, the political objectives of the plan to deport Afghan refugees from Pakistan, and a deep look at Pakistan's strategic approach to Afghanistan show that the plan to deport Afghan refugees in such a large volume and at the same time as the cold season, more than anything, indicates the existence of " political tension" between the governments of Pakistan and the Taliban.
This situation clearly indicates that the functions of the Taliban government for Pakistan as the main supporter of the Taliban did not meet the expectations and requirements of Islamabad.
Pakistan expected that with the support and new victory of the Taliban, the issue of “Durand border disputes” and “India's interests in Afghanistan” as the two main problems of Pakistan in the Afghan direction would be resolved by the Taliban forever and fundamentally. But that did not happen.
From this point of view, the plan to deport Afghan refugees may be aimed at expressing Pakistan's dissatisfaction with the Taliban government, and if the Pakistan Army and ISI are determined to continue with this strategy, then the prospects for the development of the situation in Afghanistan and the region will be different in the coming years.
To summarize, the prevailing understanding and interpretation at the moment is that the issue of expulsion of Afghan refugees in the first stage is a lever of temporary pressure on the Taliban government in order to force it to respond to the basic demands of Pakistan.
Therefore, if the Taliban government fails to open the way for dynamic and stable engagement with Pakistan, this type of pressure from Pakistan may enter into different phases.
At the same time, the plan to deport Afghan refugees from Pakistan is a tool of pressure on the international community to encourage it and international financial institutions to meet Pakistan's financial demands.
Otherwise, the real solution to prevent mass migration of Afghans to Pakistan will be that the government of Pakistan, like other neighbors of Afghanistan, by changing its political security strategy towards Afghanistan, will help prevent terror, civil war, and collapse of the system in Afghanistan and will do everything possible to prevent mass migration of Afghans into its territories and make fundamental efforts to ensure permanent stability in this country.
