Some Arab countries will welcome the US and Israeli attack on Iran and may cover some of the costs associated with this war.
Author: Ahmad Saidi, an analyst on Afghanistan and regional issues (Germany), especially for Sangar
After the Israeli attack on Iran's diplomatic mission in Syria, I wrote that Israel is trying to push Iran into full-scale war, but Iran is avoiding it.
While an attack on diplomatic missions is an attack on that country's territory under international conventions, an attack on an Iranian diplomatic mission means that Iranian territory has been attacked.
However, in response to Israel's attack on Iran's diplomatic mission in Syria, US and Israeli interests will face greater challenges in different parts of the country. There is no doubt that Iran will attack places where Israeli and US interests are located, and then the American and Israeli missions will not be safe.
In any case, Israel knows that including Iran in an all-out war is in Israel's interests, and even, perhaps, several countries, due to their conflicts with Iran, will support Israel and the US in their confrontation with Iran.
Some friends have asked me: when you say that Israel wants to drag Iran into war, what will be the long-term and short-term goals?
I want to answer this way:
1 - In my opinion, all efforts are aimed at Iran’s entry into the war at the first stage. This is the plan of Western countries led by the US because Iran has now become a problem for the US and Israel. They, as well as some Arab countries and the West, think that Iran threatens them.
2 - My prediction is that a military alliance will soon be formed against Western countries led by the United States between Iran, China, Russia, and some other countries. In this case, part of Central Asia, the Caucasus, Syria, and even Iraq may become a member of this military alliance, the consequences of which are hazardous.
3 - There will certainly be many volunteers in Africa and Latin America, especially from Islamic countries, who will join this union.
Now Iran and China are trying to make Afghanistan their connecting line and belt around Central Asia and the route to the Middle East and effectively use the current situation.
From here, the West, led by the US, is trying to remove the Iranian government and, if it can, install a democratic and secular regime in Iran, the target of which is the former prince of Iran. In this case, an important part of the enemy alliance will be destroyed if this is done.
4 - With the possible accession of Trump to the presidency of the United States, which will happen, Trump will end the war in Ukraine in favor of Russia and encourage Russia to be closer to the United States and Arab countries to get a second player for itself or at least withdraw it from the alliance with China and Iran, which is what will happen.
5 - On the other hand, not only the countries of the Caucasus and Central Asia but also Pakistan and Iran will face big problems.
Currently, if the Western world, led by the US and Israel, starts a decisive war with Iran, some countries will be very happy and perhaps even take part of the costs of this war for the benefit of the US and Israel.
The alliance between Arabs and Israel will also become stronger, and they can also resolve the Palestinian issue in this state.
Moreover, Pakistan will face endless tensions in anticipation of a period of conflict, and in the coming months, Pakistan will witness continued economic crisis and continued political unrest.
In any case, this is a difficult game, and I believe that the war will not stop only in Israel and Palestine, but will also spread to the Caucasus, and the situation in Afghanistan will be worse than before.